In the Press
Gold Drops to 3-Week Low, as US Benchmark Yield Near 3% and US Dollar up to 5-Week High, while Chinese Gold Demand Increases
“China has gone from a situation where everything was closed to things are back to semi-normality,” said Nikos Kavalis, a managing director at consultancy Metals Focus Ltd. “The market’s still not great, but it’s definitely a lot better than it was in April.” By BullionVault
What’s Up with Silver?
“One of the key reasons for the decline in [London] silver stocks has been the recovery in the Indian market,” says specialist consultancy Metals Focus. “Our research suggests that this could signal a revival in India’s investment demand, which has been subdued over the last two years…[after] the pandemic had a pronounced impact [by] pushing the economy into recession for the first time in four decades. By BullionVault
Vaults emptied, coin and bars on allocation as ravenous demand for physical silver continues unabated
Silver vault holdings in London hit 997Moz (31,023t) at the end of Q2, which was the lowest total since November 2016. It also stands in sharp contrast to the record reporting high of 1,180Moz (36,705t), which occurred in June 2021, Metals Focus says. “This represents a drop of 15% or 183Moz (5,683t),” it says. “This in turn reflects the ongoing strength of physical silver demand. That may sound counterintuitive, given how the silver price has performed recently, but in our view this is the result of a mix of quite different drivers.” By Reuben Adams for Stockhead
High Investment Expected Despite Uncertainty
“Mexico’s mining industry remains very attractive to investors despite the challenges. First of all, because it is a consolidated industry with years of experience and knowledge. Second, as a result of this, there are highly trained people who understand how to work efficiently from construction to mine operation. Third, the mineralogy of the country is excellent as it has very large and rich mineral deposits. These characteristics will allow Mexico to remain one of the most attractive investment jurisdictions,” Adam Webb, Director of Mine Supply, Metal Focus, told MBN. By Paloma Duran for Mexico Business News
AISC in the gold mining industry reached their highest level on record in Q1’22
In Q1’22, all-in sustaining costs (AISC) increased by 9% q-o-q to reach US$1,232/oz – their highest level on record back to 2012. This was primarily driven by inflation of miners’ local input costs such a diesel prices, electricity tariffs, wage rates and consumable prices. by Adam Webb for Goldhub
Gold Prices Hit Lowest Level in Nine Months
Neil Meader, director of gold and silver at consultancy Metals Focus, is predicting gold prices to fall to as low as $1,670 per ounce by late 2022. Metals Focus foresees gold demand to fall by 2 percent this year, driven by decreasing retail investment and jewelry sales in China—the world’s largest consumer of gold. “As policy rates rise and inflation declines, we expect that real rates and yields will rise materially during the second half, putting pressure on the gold price,” Meader said in a June 8 note, according to S&P Global. By Naveen Athrappully for The Epoch Times
Gold Digger: US retail demand for gold, silver bars ‘almost insatiable’, Metals Focus says
The headline numbers are this: gold bullion shipments for May partially recovered from April’s depressed levels, culminating in a year-to-date gain of 5% on the same period last year to 558 tonnes. This is the highest January to May total since 2018, says Metals Focus. By Reuben Adams for Stockhead
Metals Focus: Economic Policy Could Drive or Dive Gold’s Value
“Rising inflation, negative real rates and pandemic uncertainties were not enough to help gold stage a rally last year, and its price could not challenge the 2020 high,” Neil Meader, director of gold and silver at Metals Focus, said in the report’s press release. By Georgia Williams for Investing News
Gold demand to falter as Chinese buying weakens, Metals Focus says
Demand for gold will dip this year, mainly due to weaker jewellery sales and retail investment in China due to COVID-19 lockdowns and an economic slowdown, consultants Metals Focus said. Supply of gold, meanwhile, will rise slightly as mines expand production and recycling increases, Metals Focus said in its annual Gold Focus report. By Eric Onstad, Reuters
Gold price to average around $1,830 in 2022, a new record – Metals Focus
“Even though an increasingly hawkish Fed, a rising dollar and a wider sell-off in assets then weighed on gold, the price in early June is trading close to its level at the start of the year, outperforming equities and bonds,” wrote Neil Meader, Director of Gold and Silver at Metals Focus in the report. Looking at the second half of the year, Metals Focus said that although risks and market uncertainty have risen, they expect the Federal Reserve to engineer a soft landing for the economy as inflation starts to cool and economic growth remains healthy. By Neils Christensen for Kitco
The Great Ballistic Rally in Gold and Silver – Phase 2
As expected on the back of silver’s price rise in 2020, silver mining rebounded in 2021 — but to a lesser degree than forecasted. Mine production was up about 5% in 2021 from 2020 levels. Recycling volumes grew by 7% as higher pricing attracted more scrap to the market. Still, Metals Focus analysts had predicted growth for mining supply to be higher, in the range of 8%. As shown in Figure 2, silver supplies have dropped into a deficit since last year, and Metals Focus analysts predict another sizeable deficit of 72 million ounces in 2022. By Investing.com
Will platinum group prices soar or splutter in H2 2022? It could all hinge on a recovering car industry
The platinum group metals (PGMs) of platinum, palladium, and rhodium all saw physical surpluses in 2021. For palladium, this was the first surplus in 10 years. But that will be short-lived, says Metals Focus, which expects a return to deficits in 2022 for palladium and rhodium, while platinum’s 844,000oz surplus will fall by over 40%. By Reuben Adams for Stockhead
Palladium to swing back into deficit, platinum surplus to fall -Metals Focus
Improving demand and lower supply will help palladium and rhodium swing back into deficit this year and reduce platinum’s surplus, consultants Metals Focus said on Monday. The three precious metals are used by automakers in engine exhaust systems, where they neutralise harmful emissions. Platinum is also used in other industries and for jewellery and investment. By Zandi Shabalala for Reuters
Gold Digger: CHART – Frail Aussie dollar has local gold miners sitting pretty
After nearly rising to a record high in early March, the US gold price has lost significant ground — down more than 10% or $200 from its peak. “The sell-off accelerated in the last two weeks in the run-up to the Fed rate decision on 4th May and in its aftermath as gold’s traditional negative correlation with the US dollar re-emerged; bond yields, both nominal and real have also risen notably,” Metals Focus says. By Reuben Adams for Stockhead
Gold prices firm, but set for third weekly fall on Fed rate hike prospects
As long as there are uncertainties about global growth and inflation there could be phases where gold prices will gain because equities are likely to stay under pressure, said Harshal Barot, a senior research consultant for South Asia at Metals Focus. The base case, though, is that the bullion is likely to be under pressure, Barot said. European stocks headed for their worst week in two months as investors expect bigger interest rate hikes will be needed to rein in inflation. By Eileen Soreng for Reuters News
Gold falls to two-month low as dollar surge hurts appeal
“silver demand (due to industrial offtake) this year appears on track to achieve a new high… This, along with limited supply growth, will result in a widening deficit in 2022,” analysts at Metals Focus said in a note. By Seher Dareen for Reuters