In the Press
Lower silver demand and higher supply to reduce global deficit by 21% in 2025
Silver, which is used in jewellery, electronics, electric vehicles and solar panels, as well as an investment, faces the fifth year of a structural market deficit. Total industrial demand for silver is expected to be steady in 2025 after reaching a record high of 680.5 million ounces in 2024, while jewellery and silverware demand will fall, according to the annual report, produced for the Silver Institute by consultancy Metals Focus. By Polina Devitt
Despite cautionary indicators, platinum price will rise within a year, analyst says
Although the global economic and industrial “dashboard is littered with red and yellow indicators”, Metals Focus platinum group metals (PGMs) research director Wilma Swarts believes there are long-term upsides to platinum, in particular. “We are in a very cautionary stage. Confidence is fragile and we have political uncertainty, we have regulatory uncertainty, and all of that plays a part in what we see is happening with the PGM industry, both on the supply side and on the demand side,” she said at the 2025 PGMs Industry Day, in Johannesburg, on April 3. By Darren Parker for Creamer Media
Gold rally continues
“Successive highs this week for gold reflect several drives. First, the ongoing safe-haven motive, following this week’s US tariffs announcement and the deepening Middle East crisis. Second, growing concerns about stagflation in the US, following today’s slightly higher inflation reading,” Philip Newman, managing director of Metals Focus, a consultancy, told Mining Journal. By Siobhan Lismore-Scott for Mining Journal
Gold still can go higher but momentum is starting to wane – Metals Focus
Gold has room to move higher in the near term; however, the market is running out of momentum as prices hold above $3,000 an ounce, according to one research firm. On Thursday, spot gold prices managed to hit a new intraday all-time high at $3,057.95 an ounce, but the market has seen consistent profit-taking into the weekend. In their latest research note, analysts at Metals Focus said that gold remains an attractive safe-haven asset as President Donald Trump continues to push forward with his America First policies and global import tariffs on April 2. By Neils Christensen for Kitco News
Trump’s proposed auto tariffs seen hitting demand for platinum group metals
Barclays estimates Mexico provides up to 40% of the parts in U.S. vehicles, Canada provides more than 20% and that German auto giant Volkswagen produces about three-quarters of its North American fleet in Mexico. Meanwhile, Wilma Swarts, Director of PGM Research at Metals Focus, said PGM demand could drop about 150,000 ounces this year if tariffs reduce U.S. vehicle sales by up to one million units and if 90% of that drop is from internal combustion engine and hybrid vehicles. By Ashitha Shivaprasad and Shivansh Tiwary for Reuters
What should PDAC be talking about in 2025?
Ahead of PDAC, Mining Magazine spoke to Sarah Tomlinson, director of mine supply at precious metal research consultancy Metals Focus, to hear why PDAC matters to the mining industry and what she thinks miners should talk about in Toronto. “What you thought was normal yesterday, when you wake up in the morning, it’s completely changed. It’s very difficult to plan a long-term strategy as a company when these things are moving at such a pace,” said Tomlinson. By James Stent for Mining Magazine
America’s appetite for gold is ‘sucking’ bullion out of other countries
“The biggest concern is that there could be a blanket tariff on all imports into the U.S. and that this could also apply to gold,” said Nikos Kavalis, managing director of Metals Focus. Canada and Mexico are among the largest exporters of gold to the United States. The U.S. imports the most gold from Canada, followed by Switzerland, Colombia, Mexico and South Africa, according to data from OEC World. By Lee Ying Shan for CNBC
As gold eyes glittering milestone, bear case also rises
Gold’s appeal as a haven from risk strengthened further as newly elected U.S. President Donald Trump turned to tariffs to aid struggling domestic industry, despite the risk of sparking a trade war. When Trump raised tariffs on steel and aluminium this week, spot gold hit a record $2,942.70 per ounce. “What we have seen is the change in the motive for safe-haven buying – from being driven by the Middle East uncertainty to the threat and realisation of tariffs,” said Philip Newman, managing director at consultancy Metals Focus. By Polina Devitt for Reuters
Gold market shows strength amid tariff concerns and high prices, says Metals Focus
Towards the end of 2024, fears of tariffs led to significant shifts in the global gold trade. India experienced a strong gold market in 2024, with record-high prices driven by sustained consumer demand and post-duty cut pent-up buying, according to Chirag Sheth, Principal Consultant-South Asia at Metals Focus. Jewellery remained a key investment choice for Indian consumers, highlighting the market’s resilience despite global economic uncertainties. By By Manisha Gupta for CNBC
US gold rush drives up borrowing costs for precious metal in London
Overnight leasing rates for gold recently jumped as high as 12 per cent, according to Philip Newman, managing director at Metals Focus, a London-based precious metals consultancy. “Leasing rates are well above normal levels — and they are likely to remain volatile for some time,” he said. By the Financial Times
The ‘terrifying’ crackdown on mining companies in Africa’s coup belt
International mining companies are at the mercy of “terrifying” tactics from military regimes in Africa’s Sahel, whose leaders are using legal disputes, nationalisations and arrests to assert greater control over crucial minerals such as gold and uranium. Barrick Gold on Tuesday temporarily suspended operations in Mali after the government started seizing gold from its mine, weeks after the country issued an arrest warrant for chief executive Mark Bristow. Authorities separately detained Australian gold miner Resolute’s chief executive Terence Holohan for nearly two weeks. By Aanu Adeoye and Camilla Hodgson for Financial Times
PGM miners’ ESG spend set back by low prices, but efforts remain solid
Precious metals consultancy Metals Focus finds in its latest ‘Platinum Group Metals (PGM) Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Focus’ report that producers are increasingly strapped for cash to invest in these initiatives amid a lower PGM price environment and tighter margins. The report contains comparisons of key ESG metrics across five major PGM producers, which account for about 85% of global PGM supply. By: Marleny Arnoldi for Creamer Media’s Mining Weekly
Higher silver supply to reduce global deficit by 4% in 2024
The global silver deficit is expected to fall by 4% to 182 million ounces in 2024, with growth of 2% in total supply offsetting demand growth of 1%, the Silver Institute industry association said on Wednesday. Silver, used in jewellery, electronics, electric vehicles and solar panels as well as an investment, faces the fourth year of a structural market deficit, the Silver Institute said in a review prepared with consultancy Metals Focus. By Reuters
Gold Cost Drivers: A Veritable Pick and Mix
In Q2’24, dare it be written, All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC) rose again, creeping up by 1% q/q, or a more substantial 6% y/y to US$1,388/oz. In some ways, the onward march of AISC in the last couple of years is reminiscent of hill-walking; just when you think you’ve reached the top, there’s always that little bit more hill to climb. And yet, in Q2’24, it isn’t just the usual suspects driving this growth. by Sarah Tomlinson
Can silver price buck a forecast drop in physical demand?
The second in our series of precious metals market snapshots from the team at Metals Focus looks at the silver market. Be sure to come back next week for analysis on platinum. From the publication of the last Investment Focus from Metals Focus in October 2023 and through to February, silver prices languished, trading largely rangebound in the low $20s. However, silver has since staged an impressive rally, rising by more than a third from the start of this year to a 12-year high of $32.52 in May. By Stuart Fieldhouse for the armchair trader
Gold Hits New Heights As Economic Uncertainty Drives Demand
Gold’s meteoric rise to $2,740.37 per troy ounce reflects growing geopolitical tensions and economic shifts. Metals Focus attributes the increased demand to uncertainties surrounding the US electoral race and broader macroeconomic issues. The outlook remains optimistic, with forecasts of gold reaching $2,800 by year-end, supported by expected global interest rate cuts. By Finimize Newsroom